Norwich City vs Derby County Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Preview

Referee: Unknown

Kickoff: 15:00 Hrs

Venue: Carrow Road

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Sat 29 Dec 2018

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Norwich City vs Derby County Match Prediction

By Richard McTiernan

This Saturday afternoon (15:00) fixture is an important one in the promotion race as it features the side in second hosting the team in sixth. Here we have our match preview with all the best predictions, betting tips and match stats.

Norwich stretched their unbeaten run to 12 matches with a highly entertaining 3-3 draw against Nottingham Forest. The Canaries were three down with 16 minutes to go but a goal from Mario Vrancic and a brace from Onel Hernandez rescued an unlikely point.

Derby saw their winless run extended to three with a 3-1 defeat at promotion rivals Sheffield United. They can have few complaints as the Blades were the better team and a Harry Wilson effort proved to be a mere consolation.

The reverse fixture came at the beginning of October at Pride Park and it ended honours even with a 1-1 draw. Timm Klose netted for the Canaries, Craig Bryson for the Rams in a game the home side shaded.

 

Betting Tips and Predictions

It is hard to argue with the prices on offer here which have Norwich as favourites given their recent form. It also respects the fact that Derby are a top six side and have won at West Brom on the road this season.

The value can be found in the goalscorer markets with a couple of bets on players to score at any time. For the hosts, it is interesting to note how the full-backs are given a lot of licence to get forward. Jamal Lewis is the most likely to score but given the injury concerns I think Max Aarons is worth a bet.  For the visitors, Harry Wilson has six in his last nine and he can take advantage of the space the full-backs provide.

 

Max Aarons anytime scorer

Harry Wilson anytime scorer

 

Norwich City scored over 2.5 goals in 5 out of their last 10 games played

Norwich City saw over 1.5 goals in 9 out of their last 10 games played against Derby County

Derby County saw over 1.5 goals in 7 out of their last 10 games played

Derby County saw over 1.5 goals in 9 out of their last 10 games played against Norwich City

AVG Goals

1.4

BTTS

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Over 1.5 1H Goals

Over 1.5 2H Goals

Norwich City Form Guide

Norwich City Team Logo

Norwich City

Won

5

Draw

3

Lost

2
D A

01-01-2019

Championship

Brentford Team Logo Brentford

FT 1 - 1

(HT 1 - 0)

L H

05-01-2019

FA Cup

Portsmouth Team Logo Portsmouth

FT 0 - 1

(HT 0 - 0)

D A

12-01-2019

Championship

West Bromwich Albion Team Logo West Bromwich Albion

FT 1 - 1

(HT 1 - 0)

W H

18-01-2019

Championship

Birmingham City Team Logo Birmingham City

FT 3 - 1

(HT 3 - 1)

D H

26-01-2019

Championship

Sheffield United Team Logo Sheffield United

FT 2 - 2

(HT 1 - 1)

W A

02-02-2019

Championship

Leeds United Team Logo Leeds United

FT 1 - 3

(HT 0 - 2)

W H

10-02-2019

Championship

Ipswich Town Team Logo Ipswich Town

FT 3 - 0

(HT 1 - 0)

L A

13-02-2019

Championship

Preston North End Team Logo Preston North End

FT 3 - 1

(HT 2 - 0)

W A

16-02-2019

Championship

Bolton Wanderers Team Logo Bolton Wanderers

FT 0 - 4

(HT 0 - 3)

W H

23-02-2019

Championship

Bristol City Team Logo Bristol City

FT 3 - 2

(HT 1 - 2)

Derby County Form Guide

Derby County Team Logo

Derby County

Won

4

Draw

3

Lost

3
D H

05-01-2019

FA Cup

Southampton Team Logo Southampton

FT 2 - 2

(HT 0 - 1)

L A

11-01-2019

Championship

Leeds United Team Logo Leeds United

FT 2 - 0

(HT 1 - 0)

W A

16-01-2019

FA Cup

Southampton Team Logo Southampton

FT 5 - 7

(HT 0 - 0)

W H

19-01-2019

Championship

Reading Team Logo Reading

FT 2 - 1

(HT 2 - 0)

W A

26-01-2019

FA Cup

Accrington Stanley Team Logo Accrington Stanley

FT 0 - 1

(HT 0 - 0)

D A

01-02-2019

Championship

Preston North End Team Logo Preston North End

FT 0 - 0

(HT 0 - 0)

W H

09-02-2019

Championship

Hull City Team Logo Hull City

FT 2 - 0

(HT 1 - 0)

D A

13-02-2019

Championship

Ipswich Town Team Logo Ipswich Town

FT 1 - 1

(HT 0 - 1)

L A

16-02-2019

FA Cup

Brighton & Hove Albion Team Logo Brighton & Hove Albion

FT 2 - 1

(HT 2 - 0)

L H

20-02-2019

Championship

Millwall Team Logo Millwall

FT 0 - 1

(HT 0 - 0)

Norwich City Preview

The Canaries have drawn two of their last three but are still unbeaten in their previous 12 matches. They sit second in the table three points behind Leeds and three above West Brom in third.

At Carrow Road, the East Anglian outfit are unbeaten in their last five winning four of these games. The last four in front of their own fans have seen both teams score and gone over 3.5 goals.

Norwich have netted six times in the final 15 minutes from their previous five Championship fixtures. In five of their last eight City have conceded at least one goal before going into the interval.

 

Norwich City Team News

Emiliano Buendia (unknown), Jamal Lewis (hamstring), Moritz Leitner, Kenny McLean (both ankle), Timm Klose (knee), and Ivo Pinto (neck) are doubts.  Matt Jarvis (knee), Aston Oxborough (hand), Louis Thompson (shoulder) and Carlton Morris (cruciate) are long-term absentees.

Derby County Preview

The Rams have stuttered a little winning none of their last three and three of their previous eight. They sit in sixth place two points above Birmingham in seventh and nine behind Norwich in second.

Away from Pride Park, it has been a mixed bag of late with two victories, two defeats and a draw from their last five. A victory at West Brom in October is their only win on the road at a top side in the top eight this season.

Derby have not netted a goal in the final 30 minutes of a fixture in any of their previous eight in the league. 17 of the 33 the East Midlands side have scored have come in the opening 45 minutes.

 

Derby County Team News

Tom Lawrence (ankle) and Joe Ledley (back) are doubts through Bradley Johnson can face his old club after completing a suspension. Curtis Davies (Achilles), Craig Forsyth, Marcus Olsson (both cruciate) and Mason Bennett (hamstring) are all long-term absentees.

Norwich City Last 10 Games Stats

Win Draw Loss

AVG Goals

2.1

BTTS

Over 0.5

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

BTTS+Win

BTTS+Draw

BTTS+Lose

Cleansheets

H/T Win

Won to Nil

Derby County Last 10 Games Stats

Win Draw Loss

AVG Goals

1.1

BTTS

Over 0.5

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

BTTS+Win

BTTS+Draw

BTTS+Lose

Cleansheets

H/T Win

Won to Nil

Norwich City vs Derby County Sidelined Players

Head to Head
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Probably Lineup

No. Pos Player M kg
1 GK Tim Krul 188 74
37 LB Maximillian James Aarons - -
6 CD Christoph Zimmermann 194 92
4 RB Ben Godfrey 183 74
15 CD Timm Klose 193 87
8 CDM Mario Vrancic 186 75
27 CDM Alexander Tettey 180 68
36 CM Todd Cantwell 177 66
18 CM Marco Stiepermann 190 75
25 CM Onel Hernandez 172 76
22 CF Teemu Pukki 176 66
No. Pos Player M kg
1 GK Scott Carson 190 86
37 LB Jayden Bogle 178 -
6 CD Richard Keogh 188 87
5 CD Fikayo Tomori 185 75
2 RB Andre Wisdom 186 78
8 CM Mason Mount - -
7 CM Harry Wilson 173 70
17 CM George Evans 184 76
11 RF Florian Jozefzoon 173 70
14 CF Jack Marriott 174 61
9 LF Martyn Waghorn 177 83