Leeds United vs Derby County Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Preview

Referee: Unknown

Kickoff: 15:00 Hrs

Venue: Elland Road

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Sat 12 Jan 2019

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Leeds United vs Derby County Match Prediction

By Richard McTiernan

This Tuesday evening (19:45) game features two sides flying high in the top third of the Championship table. Here we have our match preview with all the best predictions, betting tips and match stats. Leeds suffered a fourth loss in their last five league games going down 2-1 at home to Yorkshire rivals Sheffield United on Friday night. Kalvin Phillips had looked to earn them a point but the Blades netted with nine minutes to claim a deserved victory. Derby picked up an important three points at Carrow Road beating Norwich 2-1 though the expected goals data suggests the scoreline flattered them a little. David Nugent and Sam Winnall were the goalscorers for the Rams on this occasion. The two meetings last season were both won by the home side and both had the same final scoreline of 1-0. Chris Wood scored in three of these four meetings but has since departed to Burnley.

Betting Tips and Predictions

It is hard to argue with the match prices on offer which have Leeds as favourites but offer some respect to Derby for their recent strong road form. I think I would lean to the Rams but think you can find better value in other markets. In three of their last five the home team have conceded the first goal and the visitors look value at better than evens to find the back of the net in the opening 45 minutes. This also brings in the time of the first team goal which for the Rams is set at 62:00 and they are capable of netting before this mark.

Derby to score in the first-half
Derby to score before 62:00

Leeds United saw over 1.5 goals in 9 out of their last 10 games played

Leeds United saw over 1.5 goals in 8 out of their last 10 games played against Derby County

Derby County saw over 1.5 goals in 9 out of their last 10 games played

Derby County saw over 1.5 goals in 8 out of their last 10 games played against Leeds United

AVG Goals

1.1

BTTS

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Over 1.5 1H Goals

Over 1.5 2H Goals

Leeds United Form Guide

Leeds United Team Logo

Leeds United

Won

3

Draw

1

Lost

6
L H

17-03-2018

Championship

Sheffield Wednesday Team Logo Sheffield Wednesday

FT 1 - 2

(HT 0 - 0)

W H

30-03-2018

Championship

Bolton Wanderers Team Logo Bolton Wanderers

FT 2 - 1

(HT 1 - 0)

L A

03-04-2018

Championship

Fulham Team Logo Fulham

FT 2 - 0

(HT 1 - 0)

D H

07-04-2018

Championship

Sunderland Team Logo Sunderland

FT 1 - 1

(HT 0 - 0)

L A

10-04-2018

Championship

Preston North End Team Logo Preston North End

FT 3 - 1

(HT 0 - 1)

L A

13-04-2018

Championship

Aston Villa Team Logo Aston Villa

FT 1 - 0

(HT 1 - 0)

W H

21-04-2018

Championship

Barnsley Team Logo Barnsley

FT 2 - 1

(HT 1 - 1)

L A

28-04-2018

Championship

Norwich City Team Logo Norwich City

FT 2 - 1

(HT 1 - 1)

W H

06-05-2018

Championship

Queens Park Rangers Team Logo Queens Park Rangers

FT 2 - 0

(HT 1 - 0)

L A

09-05-2018

Club Friendlies

MNL All Stars

FT 2 - 1

(HT 1 - 1)

Derby County Form Guide

Derby County Team Logo

Derby County

Won

5

Draw

1

Lost

4
W H

07-04-2018

Championship

Bolton Wanderers Team Logo Bolton Wanderers

FT 3 - 0

(HT 2 - 0)

L A

11-04-2018

Championship

Wolverhampton Wanderers Team Logo Wolverhampton Wanderers

FT 2 - 0

(HT 1 - 0)

L A

14-04-2018

Championship

Burton Albion Team Logo Burton Albion

FT 3 - 1

(HT 2 - 1)

L H

21-04-2018

Championship

Middlesbrough Team Logo Middlesbrough

FT 1 - 2

(HT 0 - 1)

W H

24-04-2018

Championship

Cardiff City Team Logo Cardiff City

FT 3 - 1

(HT 0 - 1)

D A

28-04-2018

Championship

Aston Villa Team Logo Aston Villa

FT 1 - 1

(HT 0 - 1)

W H

06-05-2018

Championship

Barnsley Team Logo Barnsley

FT 4 - 1

(HT 1 - 0)

W H

11-05-2018

Championship Playoff

Fulham Team Logo Fulham

FT 1 - 0

(HT 1 - 0)

L A

14-05-2018

Championship Playoff

Fulham Team Logo Fulham

FT 2 - 0

(HT 0 - 0)

W A

14-07-2018

Club Friendlies

Notts County Team Logo Notts County

FT 1 - 4

(HT 0 - 2)

Leeds United Preview

After a strong start to the season just six points from their last seven league games means Leeds are on the slide. Just one of their next eight is against a side in the bottom six and that is a Yorkshire derby with Barnsley. At Elland Road, they have suffered two consecutive defeats having won the previous and drawing their opening two. After firing ten in three home fixtures they have now netted just once at their own ground in the last two. The 22 goals that they have scored this season means Leeds are the joint fourth highest scoring team while the 14 they have conceded has them in the top eight. Six of the last nine netted in their matches have come in the opening 45 minutes.

Leeds United Team News

Stuart Dallas and Pontus Jansson might return to the starting 11 after a place on the bench last time as United look to shake things up. Gaetano Beradi will continue to miss out through suspension while Cameron Borthwick Jackson (ankle) is a doubt.

Derby County Preview

The Rams continued their recent good form with a third straight victory and six games unbeaten taking 12 points from a possible 18. They now sit in the top third of the division and this marks the only one of their next eight against a side in the top eight. Away from the iPro Stadium, they have been solid with two victories, three draws and two defeats with five points from their last three. On their travels both teams to score is a common occurrence and has happened in six of seven. The East-Midlands outfit would be as high as third if the table was settled on games played over 45 minutes. Just four of the 14 they have conceded in the league this season have come in the opening 45 minutes.

Derby County Team News

Johnny Russell (groin) is a doubt while Mason Bennett (knee), Darren Bent (hamstring) and Kyle McAllister (groin) continue to be long-term absentees.

Leeds United Last 10 Games Stats

Win Draw Loss

AVG Goals

1.1

BTTS

Over 0.5

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

BTTS+Win

BTTS+Draw

BTTS+Lose

Cleansheets

H/T Win

Won to Nil

Derby County Last 10 Games Stats

Win Draw Loss

AVG Goals

1.8

BTTS

Over 0.5

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

BTTS+Win

BTTS+Draw

BTTS+Lose

Cleansheets

H/T Win

Won to Nil

Leeds United vs Derby County Sidelined Players

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