Derby County vs Middlesbrough Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Preview

Referee: Unknown

Kickoff: 15:00 Hrs

Venue: Pride Park

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Sat 21 Apr 2018

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Derby County vs Middlesbrough Match Prediction

By Richard McTiernan

This Saturday afternoon (15:00) fixture is an important one in the race to reach the end of season play-offs.  Here we have our match preview with all the best predictions, betting tips and match stats.

Derby suffered a second successive loss at the weekend going down 3-1 away to struggling Burton.  The result was harsh on the Rams with the expected goals data showing the two sides were equal but a David Nugent goal was all they had to show for their efforts.

Middlesbrough moved back into the play-off spots as they defeated Bristol City 2-1 at the Riverside Stadium.  They found themselves one down after just 13 minutes but levelled five minutes late through George Friend and then claimed all three points with a Daniel Ayala effort.

The reverse fixture came towards the end of November and County won that one 3-0 thanks to a Matej Vydra hat-trick.  The result put to an end a five-game unbeaten streak the Teesiders had in meetings between the duo.

 

Betting Tips and Predictions

Derby have won just one of their last five at home and two of eight so it is hard to be siding with them here.  Middlesbrough though have won just one of their last seven on their travels so it is hard to back them either.

A bet I do like though is both teams to score with the visitors netting in each of their last five on the road while the hosts have netted in each of their last six at their own ground.  

Given that only Wolves have been ahead going into the interval more times than the Rams in the Championship this season then I think they look worth a small interest to be doing so here after 45 minutes.

 

YES in the both teams to score market

Derby to be ahead at half-time

 

Derby County saw over 1.5 goals in 8 out of their last 10 games played

Derby County saw over 1.5 goals in 8 out of their last 10 games played against Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough saw over 1.5 goals in 8 out of their last 10 games played

Middlesbrough saw over 1.5 goals in 8 out of their last 10 games played against Derby County

AVG Goals

1.3

BTTS

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Over 1.5 1H Goals

Over 1.5 2H Goals

Derby County Form Guide

Derby County Team Logo

Derby County

Won

5

Draw

1

Lost

4
W A

02-04-2018

Championship

Preston North End Team Logo Preston North End

FT 0 - 1

(HT 0 - 0)

W H

07-04-2018

Championship

Bolton Wanderers Team Logo Bolton Wanderers

FT 3 - 0

(HT 2 - 0)

L A

11-04-2018

Championship

Wolverhampton Wanderers Team Logo Wolverhampton Wanderers

FT 2 - 0

(HT 1 - 0)

L A

14-04-2018

Championship

Burton Albion Team Logo Burton Albion

FT 3 - 1

(HT 2 - 1)

L H

21-04-2018

Championship

Middlesbrough Team Logo Middlesbrough

FT 1 - 2

(HT 0 - 1)

W H

24-04-2018

Championship

Cardiff City Team Logo Cardiff City

FT 3 - 1

(HT 0 - 1)

D A

28-04-2018

Championship

Aston Villa Team Logo Aston Villa

FT 1 - 1

(HT 0 - 1)

W H

06-05-2018

Championship

Barnsley Team Logo Barnsley

FT 4 - 1

(HT 1 - 0)

W H

11-05-2018

Championship Playoff

Fulham Team Logo Fulham

FT 1 - 0

(HT 1 - 0)

L A

14-05-2018

Championship Playoff

Fulham Team Logo Fulham

FT 2 - 0

(HT 0 - 0)

Middlesbrough Form Guide

Middlesbrough Team Logo

Middlesbrough

Won

4

Draw

3

Lost

3
L H

30-03-2018

Championship

Wolverhampton Wanderers Team Logo Wolverhampton Wanderers

FT 1 - 2

(HT 0 - 2)

D A

02-04-2018

Championship

Burton Albion Team Logo Burton Albion

FT 1 - 1

(HT 1 - 0)

W H

07-04-2018

Championship

Nottingham Forest Team Logo Nottingham Forest

FT 2 - 0

(HT 2 - 0)

L A

10-04-2018

Championship

Sheffield United Team Logo Sheffield United

FT 2 - 1

(HT 2 - 0)

W H

14-04-2018

Championship

Bristol City Team Logo Bristol City

FT 2 - 1

(HT 1 - 1)

W A

21-04-2018

Championship

Derby County Team Logo Derby County

FT 1 - 2

(HT 0 - 1)

W H

28-04-2018

Championship

Millwall Team Logo Millwall

FT 2 - 0

(HT 1 - 0)

D A

06-05-2018

Championship

Ipswich Town Team Logo Ipswich Town

FT 2 - 2

(HT 1 - 0)

L H

12-05-2018

Championship Playoff

Aston Villa Team Logo Aston Villa

FT 0 - 1

(HT 0 - 1)

D A

15-05-2018

Championship Playoff

Aston Villa Team Logo Aston Villa

FT 0 - 0

(HT 0 - 0)

Derby County Preview

The Rams have slide out of the play-offs on the back of two defeats and just two victories in their last 12.  Three of their last four fixtures are against side in the top five while the other is against a Barnsley side battling against relegation.

At the iPro Stadium, they have struggled of late winning just one of their last five and two of their last eight.  Matej Vydra has netted four in his six appearances in front of his own fans.

Three of the last five and six of the last ten Derby County league matches have gone over 2.5 goals.  Only league leaders Wolves have been ahead going into the interval more times than the East Midlands outfit.

 

Derby County Team News

Ikechi Anya (calf), Bradley Johnson (foot), Marcus Olsson (back), Kyle McAllister (groin) and Jonathan Mitchell (finger) are doubts while Sam Winnall (cruciate) is out for the season

 

Middlesbrough Preview

Just two defeats from their last 11 matches has allowed Middlesbrough to move into fifth and occupy one of the play-off spots.  Each of their next two are against teams in the top seven with the final one at Ipswich.

Away from the Riverside Stadium, they have won just one of their last seven though three of these have ended all-square.  Four of their last five on the road have seen both teams score with the Teesiders netting in each of the last five.

Each of the last six Middlesbrough have played in the Championship have featured exactly two or three goals.  Daniel Ayala has found the back of the net in each of his last three and four of his last seven.

 

Middlesbrough Team News

Rudy Gestede (broken ankle) is unlikely to play again this season while Patrick Bamford (unknown) is a doubt.  Grant Leadbitter is available following his suspension.

Derby County Last 10 Games Stats

Win Draw Loss

AVG Goals

1.5

BTTS

Over 0.5

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

BTTS+Win

BTTS+Draw

BTTS+Lose

Cleansheets

H/T Win

Won to Nil

Middlesbrough Last 10 Games Stats

Win Draw Loss

AVG Goals

1.3

BTTS

Over 0.5

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

BTTS+Win

BTTS+Draw

BTTS+Lose

Cleansheets

H/T Win

Won to Nil

Derby County vs Middlesbrough Sidelined Players

Head to Head
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Probably Lineup

No. Pos Player M kg
1 GK Scott Carson 190 86
6 CD Richard Keogh 188 87
33 CD Curtis Davies 188 76
3 CD Craig Forsyth 191 81
14 LM Andre Wisdom 186 78
44 CM Tom Huddlestone 180 80
15 CM Bradley Johnson 178 68
29 RM Marcus Olsson 180 72
10 AM Tom Lawrence 175 70
23 AM Matej Vydra 180 71
28 CF David Nugent 180 76
No. Pos Player M kg
25 GK Darren Randolph 188 98
5 LB Ryan Shotton 191 85
4 CD Daniel Ayala 190 81
6 CD Ben Gibson 185 78
3 RB George Friend 188 83
16 CM Jonathan Howson 180 77
8 CM Adam Clayton 175 75
27 CM Muhamed Besic 180 80
37 LF Adama Traore 178 72
9 CF Britt Assombalonga 177 76
19 RF Stewart Downing 180 64