Derby County vs Brentford Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Preview

Referee: Unknown

Kickoff: 15:00 Hrs

Venue: Pride Park

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Sat 22 Sep 2018

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Derby County vs Brentford Match Prediction

By Richard McTiernan

This Saturday afternoon (15:00) fixture features two of the promotion hopefuls in the Championship.  Here we have our match preview with all the best predictions, betting tips and match stats. Derby were held to a goalless draw in midweek as they shared a point from a home encounter with Blackburn.  The result was harsh on the Rams who were the better side but could not find a breakthrough. Brentford were a short price to win on the road away to lowly Ipswich but despite taking the lead Neal Maupay had to settle for a point in a 1-1 draw.  Although the Bees saw more of the ball the expected goals data suggest there was little to choose between the pair. The two meetings between these sides last season saw County take four points with a 3-0 home victory and a 1-1 draw at Griffin Park.  It means the East Midlands outfit have lost just one of their last seven against the London side.

Betting Tips and Predictions

Brentford are favourites to win this game and while I believe they are the better team they have yet to win on the road this season so I could not be bringing myself to backing them though nor do I want to oppose them with Derby. Neal Maupay is in great goalscoring form and he looks the play here in the anytime goalscorer market. Jayden Bogle, was given a great licence to get forward in midweek and the youngster looks also too big to score at any time.

Neal Maupay anytime goalscorer

Jayden Bogle anytime goalscorer

Derby County saw over 1.5 goals in 9 out of their last 10 games played

Derby County saw over 1.5 goals in 9 out of their last 10 games played against Brentford

Brentford saw over 1.5 goals in 8 out of their last 10 games played

Brentford saw over 1.5 goals in 9 out of their last 10 games played against Derby County

AVG Goals

0.9

BTTS

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Over 1.5 1H Goals

Over 1.5 2H Goals

Derby County Form Guide

Derby County Team Logo

Derby County

Won

4

Draw

3

Lost

3
W A

25-09-2018

EFL Cup

Manchester United Team Logo Manchester United

FT 9 - 10

(HT 1 - 0)

L A

29-09-2018

Championship

Bolton Wanderers Team Logo Bolton Wanderers

FT 1 - 0

(HT 1 - 0)

D H

03-10-2018

Championship

Norwich City Team Logo Norwich City

FT 1 - 1

(HT 0 - 0)

D A

06-10-2018

Championship

Queens Park Rangers Team Logo Queens Park Rangers

FT 1 - 1

(HT 0 - 1)

W H

20-10-2018

Championship

Sheffield United Team Logo Sheffield United

FT 2 - 1

(HT 1 - 1)

W A

24-10-2018

Championship

West Bromwich Albion Team Logo West Bromwich Albion

FT 1 - 4

(HT 0 - 2)

D A

27-10-2018

Championship

Middlesbrough Team Logo Middlesbrough

FT 1 - 1

(HT 0 - 1)

L A

31-10-2018

EFL Cup

Chelsea Team Logo Chelsea

FT 3 - 2

(HT 3 - 2)

W H

03-11-2018

Championship

Birmingham City Team Logo Birmingham City

FT 3 - 1

(HT 0 - 1)

L H

10-11-2018

Championship

Aston Villa Team Logo Aston Villa

FT 0 - 3

(HT 0 - 0)

Brentford Form Guide

Brentford Team Logo

Brentford

Won

1

Draw

3

Lost

6
L A

22-09-2018

Championship

Derby County Team Logo Derby County

FT 3 - 1

(HT 3 - 1)

L A

26-09-2018

EFL Cup

Arsenal Team Logo Arsenal

FT 3 - 1

(HT 2 - 0)

D H

29-09-2018

Championship

Reading Team Logo Reading

FT 2 - 2

(HT 1 - 1)

D H

02-10-2018

Championship

Birmingham City Team Logo Birmingham City

FT 1 - 1

(HT 1 - 1)

D A

06-10-2018

Championship

Leeds United Team Logo Leeds United

FT 1 - 1

(HT 0 - 0)

L H

20-10-2018

Championship

Bristol City Team Logo Bristol City

FT 0 - 1

(HT 0 - 0)

L A

24-10-2018

Championship

Preston North End Team Logo Preston North End

FT 4 - 3

(HT 3 - 1)

L A

27-10-2018

Championship

Norwich City Team Logo Norwich City

FT 1 - 0

(HT 1 - 0)

W H

03-11-2018

Championship

Millwall Team Logo Millwall

FT 2 - 0

(HT 0 - 0)

L A

10-11-2018

Championship

Queens Park Rangers Team Logo Queens Park Rangers

FT 3 - 2

(HT 0 - 1)

Derby County Preview

The Rams have made a decent start to the season with four victories, one draw and three defeats from their opening eight. They sit ninth in the table while the expected goals data believes they should be a little lower in 15th. At Pride Park, they have won two, drawn one and lost one this season with that defeat coming to Leeds (4-1). In each of their last three at their own ground the East Midlands outfit have kept a clean sheet. Just one of the last five that Derby have played in the league have seen both teams find the back of the net. It is also the same ratio for over 2.5 goals (just one of five) with their last two producing a total of just one goal.

Derby County Team News

Curtis Davies (hamstring) and George Evans (knee) are doubts while Marcus Olsson (cruciate) is a long-term absentee.  Tom Lawrence will miss the game through suspension.

Brentford Preview

The Bees have made a strong start to the campaign with four victories, three draws and just one defeat from eight. They sit third in the Championship table while the expected goals data feels they should be top. Away from Griffin Park, they have struggled a little failing to win any of four though three of these have ended drawn. Neal Maupay has netted three times on the road this season and eight times in total. Five of the eight league matches Brentford have had this season have seen both teams find the back of the net. Just one of the last four and two of the last seven involving the London outfit have gone over 2.5 goals.

Brentford Team News

Rico Henry (knee) and Emilano Marcondes (unknown) remain long-term absentees.

Derby County Last 10 Games Stats

Win Draw Loss

AVG Goals

1.6

BTTS

Over 0.5

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

BTTS+Win

BTTS+Draw

BTTS+Lose

Cleansheets

H/T Win

Won to Nil

Brentford Last 10 Games Stats

Win Draw Loss

AVG Goals

1.3

BTTS

Over 0.5

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

BTTS+Win

BTTS+Draw

BTTS+Lose

Cleansheets

H/T Win

Won to Nil

Derby County vs Brentford Sidelined Players

Head to Head
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Probably Lineup

No. Pos Player M kg
1 GK Scott Carson 190 86
5 CD Fikayo Tomori 185 75
3 RB Craig Forsyth 191 81
6 CD Richard Keogh 188 87
37 LB Jayden Bogle - -
15 CDM Bradley Johnson 178 68
7 CM Harry Wilson 173 70
4 CDM Craig Bryson 170 60
20 CM Mason Bennett 178 64
8 CM Mason Mount - -
28 CF David Nugent 180 76
No. Pos Player M kg
1 GK Daniel Bentley 188 72
29 RB Yoann Barbet 190 77
6 CD Chris Mepham 191 75
22 LB Henrik Dalsgaard 192 81
23 CD Julian Jeanvier 183 78
10 CDM Joshua McEachran 178 65
4 CDM Lewis Macleod 175 72
19 CM Romaine Sawyers 175 67
21 CM Said Benrahma 172 67
11 CM Ollie Watkins 179 70
9 CF Neal Maupay 171 69