Derby County vs Aston Villa Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Preview

Referee: Unknown

Kickoff: 15:00 Hrs

Venue: Pride Park

Home

Sat 10 Nov 2018

Away
3 0 2

Finished

5 0 2

This preview has expired...

Derby County vs Aston Villa Match Prediction

By Richard McTiernan

This Saturday afternoon (15:00) fixture features two Midlands sides with hopes of promotion to the top flight. Here we have our match preview with all the best predictions, betting tips and match stats.

Derby stretched their unbeaten league run to six matches with a 3-1 home victory over Birmingham put to an end their opponents 11 game unbeaten run. Mason Bennett, Harry Wilson and Jack Marriott all grabbed one each to give County a deserved three points.

Aston Villa finally got their first win under Dean Smith as they eased past Bolton 2-0 last time out. Jack Grealish put them ahead after four minutes and a James Chester second-half goal wrapped up all three points.

These two teams are honours even from their last four meetings with one win each and two draws. These matches are usually tight low-scoring affairs with just a combined five goals from these four.

 

Betting Tips and Predictions

It is hard to argue with the prices on offer here which make Derby favourites given they have won five of their last seven at home. I could see a few people backing the Rams and while I could not put anyone off doing so I think other bets represent better value.

I think over 2.5 goals looks the sensible play given this has happened in three of the last four for the home side and both teams are packed with firepower. Villa have netted in all bar one of their eight on the road this season and while both teams to score as a single bet is a little short combined with over 2.5 goals makes a nice double.

 

OVER 2.5 goals in this game

OVER 2.5 goals and YES in the both teams to score market

 

Derby County saw over 1.5 goals in 7 out of their last 10 games played

Derby County saw over 1.5 goals in 8 out of their last 10 games played against Aston Villa

Aston Villa saw over 1.5 goals in 8 out of their last 10 games played

Aston Villa saw over 1.5 goals in 8 out of their last 10 games played against Derby County

AVG Goals

0.8

BTTS

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Over 1.5 1H Goals

Over 1.5 2H Goals

Derby County Form Guide

Derby County Team Logo

Derby County

Won

4

Draw

3

Lost

3
D H

05-01-2019

FA Cup

Southampton Team Logo Southampton

FT 2 - 2

(HT 0 - 1)

L A

11-01-2019

Championship

Leeds United Team Logo Leeds United

FT 2 - 0

(HT 1 - 0)

W A

16-01-2019

FA Cup

Southampton Team Logo Southampton

FT 5 - 7

(HT 0 - 0)

W H

19-01-2019

Championship

Reading Team Logo Reading

FT 2 - 1

(HT 2 - 0)

W A

26-01-2019

FA Cup

Accrington Stanley Team Logo Accrington Stanley

FT 0 - 1

(HT 0 - 0)

D A

01-02-2019

Championship

Preston North End Team Logo Preston North End

FT 0 - 0

(HT 0 - 0)

W H

09-02-2019

Championship

Hull City Team Logo Hull City

FT 2 - 0

(HT 1 - 0)

D A

13-02-2019

Championship

Ipswich Town Team Logo Ipswich Town

FT 1 - 1

(HT 0 - 1)

L A

16-02-2019

FA Cup

Brighton & Hove Albion Team Logo Brighton & Hove Albion

FT 2 - 1

(HT 2 - 0)

L H

20-02-2019

Championship

Millwall Team Logo Millwall

FT 0 - 1

(HT 0 - 0)

Aston Villa Form Guide

Aston Villa Team Logo

Aston Villa

Won

1

Draw

5

Lost

4
D H

01-01-2019

Championship

Queens Park Rangers Team Logo Queens Park Rangers

FT 2 - 2

(HT 1 - 1)

L H

05-01-2019

FA Cup

Swansea City Team Logo Swansea City

FT 0 - 3

(HT 0 - 1)

L A

12-01-2019

Championship

Wigan Athletic Team Logo Wigan Athletic

FT 3 - 0

(HT 1 - 0)

D H

19-01-2019

Championship

Hull City Team Logo Hull City

FT 2 - 2

(HT 1 - 2)

W H

26-01-2019

Championship

Ipswich Town Team Logo Ipswich Town

FT 2 - 1

(HT 1 - 0)

D A

02-02-2019

Championship

Reading Team Logo Reading

FT 0 - 0

(HT 0 - 0)

D H

08-02-2019

Championship

Sheffield United Team Logo Sheffield United

FT 3 - 3

(HT 0 - 1)

L A

13-02-2019

Championship

Brentford Team Logo Brentford

FT 1 - 0

(HT 0 - 0)

L H

16-02-2019

Championship

West Bromwich Albion Team Logo West Bromwich Albion

FT 0 - 2

(HT 0 - 2)

D A

23-02-2019

Championship

Stoke City Team Logo Stoke City

FT 1 - 1

(HT 1 - 0)

Derby County Preview

The Rams have won three and drawn three of their last six and lost just one of their previous nine. They sit in fourth place in the Championship table while the expected goals data has them a little lower in sixth.

At the Macron Stadium, they are unbeaten in their last seven fixtures winning five of these including the last two. Jack Marriott has netted in his last two at home while Craig Bryson has two in three.

Derby have been behind just four times going into the break and just two when looking at home fixtures. 14 of the 25 goals the East Midlands outfit have netted coming in the second-half.

 

Derby County Team News

Martyn Waghorn (unknown), Mason Mount (foot), George Evans (knee), Joe Ledley (back) and Craig Bryson (calf) are all doubts.  Marcus Olsson (cruciate) is a long-term absentee.

Aston Villa Preview

Villa picked up only their second victory in the last eight but still have plenty of time to go on a run to make the play-offs. They sit in 14th though the expected goals data has them slightly lower in 16th.

Away from Villa Park, they have lost three straight matches and are without a league road win in seven. Both teams to score has occurred in seven of eight the Midlands outfit have played on the road this campaign.

Aston Villa would be as high as fourth in the table if positions were settled on results after 45 minutes having been behind just once going into the break. Exactly 50% of the goals they have scored have come in the first-half.

 

Aston Villa Team News

Rushian Hepburn-Murphy (knee), Micah Richards (fitness), Birkir Bjarnason, Keinan Davis (both groin) and Harry McKirdy (dislocated shoulder) are doubts.

Derby County Last 10 Games Stats

Win Draw Loss

AVG Goals

1.1

BTTS

Over 0.5

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

BTTS+Win

BTTS+Draw

BTTS+Lose

Cleansheets

H/T Win

Won to Nil

Aston Villa Last 10 Games Stats

Win Draw Loss

AVG Goals

1

BTTS

Over 0.5

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

BTTS+Win

BTTS+Draw

BTTS+Lose

Cleansheets

H/T Win

Won to Nil

Derby County vs Aston Villa Sidelined Players

Head to Head
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Probably Lineup

No. Pos Player M kg
1 GK Scott Carson 190 86
3 RB Craig Forsyth 191 81
5 CD Fikayo Tomori 185 75
37 LB Jayden Bogle 178 -
6 CD Richard Keogh 188 87
23 CM Duane Holmes 172 65
44 CM Tom Huddlestone 180 80
7 CM Harry Wilson 173 70
14 CF Jack Marriott 174 61
10 RF Tom Lawrence 175 70
20 LF Mason Bennett 178 64
No. Pos Player M kg
1 GK Oerjan Haaskjold Nyland 192 78
3 RB Neil Taylor 175 65
5 CD James Chester 177 75
4 CD Axel Tuanzebe 183 77
21 LB Alan Hutton 185 72
10 AM Jack Grealish 175 68
26 RM Jonathan Kodjia 189 77
14 CM Conor Hourihane 181 62
7 CM John McGinn 175 68
37 LM Albert Adomah 185 74
18 CF Tammy Abraham 190 80