Derby County vs Aston Villa Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Preview

Referee: Unknown

Kickoff: 15:00 Hrs

Venue: Pride Park

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Sat 10 Nov 2018

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Derby County vs Aston Villa Match Prediction

By Richard McTiernan

This Saturday afternoon (15:00) fixture will have implications on the play-off race as fourth entertains fifth. Here we have our match preview with all the best predictions, betting tips and match stats. Derby coasted to a 3-0 victory over Barnsley at Oakwell last time out though the expected goals data suggests that they were flattered by the scoreline. They had a goal each from Tom Lawrence, Matej Vydra and Andreas Weimann to thank for the points. Aston Villa were held for the second straight game this time at home to Millwall in a game that ended goalless. The expected goal data suggests that in fact it was the Lions who were the stronger side and the hosts a little lucky to claim a point. The two meetings between these sides last season ended 1-0 to the hosts at Villa Park and scoreless at the iPro Stadium. Central defender James Chester got the only goal of these battles in 2016/17.

Betting Tips and Predictions

This is a tough game to call and if pushed I would go for the draw as the best option of the three but I prefer to look elsewhere for my bets than in the match markets. Derby have conceded just once in their last five while Villa have shipped just five in the last eight so this could be a low-scoring affair. NO in the both teams to score market looks an option and under 1.5 goals is also worth a play

Under 1.5 goals in this game

NO in the both teams to score market

Derby County saw over 1.5 goals in 9 out of their last 10 games played

Derby County saw over 1.5 goals in 7 out of their last 10 games played against Aston Villa

Aston Villa scored over 2.5 goals in 5 out of their last 10 games played

Aston Villa saw over 1.5 goals in 7 out of their last 10 games played against Derby County

AVG Goals

1.8

BTTS

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Over 1.5 1H Goals

Over 1.5 2H Goals

Derby County Form Guide

Derby County Team Logo

Derby County

Won

6

Draw

0

Lost

4
L A

14-05-2018

Championship Playoff

Fulham Team Logo Fulham

FT 2 - 0

(HT 0 - 0)

W A

14-07-2018

Club Friendlies

Notts County Team Logo Notts County

FT 1 - 4

(HT 0 - 2)

L A

18-07-2018

Club Friendlies

Mansfield Town Team Logo Mansfield Town

FT 3 - 1

(HT 0 - 0)

W H

21-07-2018

Club Friendlies

Southampton Team Logo Southampton

FT 3 - 0

(HT 0 - 0)

W A

25-07-2018

Club Friendlies

Coventry City Team Logo Coventry City

FT 0 - 1

(HT 0 - 1)

W H

28-07-2018

Club Friendlies

Wolverhampton Wanderers Team Logo Wolverhampton Wanderers

FT 2 - 1

(HT 1 - 0)

W A

03-08-2018

Championship

Reading Team Logo Reading

FT 1 - 2

(HT 0 - 0)

L H

11-08-2018

Championship

Leeds United Team Logo Leeds United

FT 1 - 4

(HT 1 - 2)

W A

14-08-2018

EFL Cup

Oldham Athletic Team Logo Oldham Athletic

FT 0 - 2

(HT 0 - 1)

L A

18-08-2018

Championship

Millwall Team Logo Millwall

FT 2 - 1

(HT 2 - 0)

Aston Villa Form Guide

Aston Villa Team Logo

Aston Villa

Won

7

Draw

2

Lost

1
D A

14-07-2018

Club Friendlies

Kidderminster Harriers Team Logo Kidderminster Harriers

FT 1 - 1

(HT 1 - 1)

W A

14-07-2018

Club Friendlies

Telford Team Logo Telford

FT 0 - 3

(HT 0 - 1)

W A

17-07-2018

Club Friendlies

Walsall Team Logo Walsall

FT 1 - 4

(HT 0 - 3)

W A

21-07-2018

Club Friendlies

Burton Albion Team Logo Burton Albion

FT 0 - 4

(HT 0 - 1)

L A

25-07-2018

Club Friendlies

West Ham United Team Logo West Ham United

FT 3 - 1

(HT 2 - 0)

W A

28-07-2018

Club Friendlies

Dynamo Dresden Team Logo Dynamo Dresden

FT 1 - 2

(HT 1 - 0)

W A

06-08-2018

Championship

Hull City Team Logo Hull City

FT 1 - 3

(HT 1 - 1)

W H

11-08-2018

Championship

Wigan Athletic Team Logo Wigan Athletic

FT 3 - 2

(HT 1 - 1)

W A

14-08-2018

EFL Cup

Yeovil Town Team Logo Yeovil Town

FT 0 - 1

(HT 0 - 0)

D A

18-08-2018

Championship

Ipswich Town Team Logo Ipswich Town

FT 1 - 1

(HT 1 - 1)

Derby County Preview

It is now back-to-back victories for the Rams and four from their last five which means they sit in the top six of the table. They are in fourth one place and one point above their opponents here. At the iPro Stadium, it has been a mixed bag in their last four with victories over Burton and QPR but defeats to Ipswich and Reading. Just one of their last seven and two of their last ten in front of their own fans has gone over 2.5 goals. Both teams to score has failed to happen in any of the last five Derby fixtures while four of their last six have gone under 2.5 goals. Matej Vydra has 12 league goals this season and has netted six times in the last six.

Derby County Team News

Jason Shackell (calf), Darren Bent (hamstring), Jamie Hanson (calf) and Mason Bennett (knee) are doubts. Kyle McAllister (groin) is a few months away from a return.

Aston Villa Preview

It is five games unbeaten for Aston Villa though the last two fixtures have ended in draws. This marks the start of a tricky run of games with four of their next five coming against teams in the top eight. Away from Villa Park, they have gone four games unbeaten defeating Preston and QPR while drawing with Leeds and Birmingham. Just one of their last five on the road have gone over 2.5 goals. Their defence has been strong in recent times conceding just five goals in their last eight despite losing John Terry a few weeks ago to injury. Six of their last seven and eight of their last ten have produced a total of exactly two or three goals.

Aston Villa Team News

Gabby Agbonlahor (calf), Andre Green (hamstring), Mile Jedinak (shoulder), Jordan Lyden (ankle), Chris Samba (hamstring) and .Rushian Hepburn-Murphy are doubts. John Terry (broken toe) and Jonathan Kodjia (ankle) are long-term absentees

Derby County Last 10 Games Stats

Win Draw Loss

AVG Goals

1.7

BTTS

Over 0.5

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

BTTS+Win

BTTS+Draw

BTTS+Lose

Cleansheets

H/T Win

Won to Nil

Aston Villa Last 10 Games Stats

Win Draw Loss

AVG Goals

2.3

BTTS

Over 0.5

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

BTTS+Win

BTTS+Draw

BTTS+Lose

Cleansheets

H/T Win

Won to Nil

Derby County vs Aston Villa Sidelined Players

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