Bolton Wanderers vs Aston Villa Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Preview

Referee: Unknown

Kickoff: 17:30 Hrs

Venue: Macron Stadium

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Sat 17 Mar 2018

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Bolton Wanderers vs Aston Villa Match Prediction

By Richard McTiernan

This Saturday evening (17:30) game is live on SKYTV and features two sides in need of points at opposite ends of the table.  Here we have our match preview with all the best predictions, betting tips and match stats.

Bolton made it back-to-back draws as they needed a late Aaron Wilbraham strike to claim a point away to Sheffield Wednesday in a 1-1 draw.  To come away with nothing would have been harsh on Wanderers who were just as good as their opponents.

Aston Villa suffered a shock home defeat in midweek going down 3-1 when they entertained QPR.  An 88th minute James Chester goal was all they had to show and despite having more chances were undone by the finishing of their mid-table opponents.

The reverse fixture came at the end of September was won 1-0 by the home team thanks to a Jonathan Kodjia penalty.  It marked only the second time in their last seven meetings that the home team had come out on top.

 

Betting Tips and Predictions

Aston Villa should get back to winning ways here but the price does not appeal to me especially considering how strong Bolton have been at home this season losing just two of their last 13.

Lewis Grabban did not net in midweek but he still has four in his last five and is also on penalties so looks value here in the to score at any time market.

Given that the hosts have scored exactly once in each of their last six then also take a small interest in their total goals to be exactly one.

 

Lewis Grabban anytime scorer

Bolton to score exactly one goal

 

Bolton Wanderers saw over 1.5 goals in 8 out of their last 10 games played

Bolton Wanderers saw over 1.5 goals in 7 out of their last 10 games played against Aston Villa

Aston Villa have not conceded a goal in 60% of their last 10 games played

Aston Villa saw over 1.5 goals in 7 out of their last 10 games played against Bolton Wanderers

AVG Goals

1.2

BTTS

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Over 1.5 1H Goals

Over 1.5 2H Goals

Bolton Wanderers Form Guide

Bolton Wanderers Team Logo

Bolton Wanderers

Won

2

Draw

2

Lost

6
D A

10-03-2018

Championship

Sheffield Wednesday Team Logo Sheffield Wednesday

FT 1 - 1

(HT 0 - 0)

W H

17-03-2018

Championship

Aston Villa Team Logo Aston Villa

FT 1 - 0

(HT 1 - 0)

L A

30-03-2018

Championship

Leeds United Team Logo Leeds United

FT 2 - 1

(HT 1 - 0)

L H

03-04-2018

Championship

Birmingham City Team Logo Birmingham City

FT 0 - 1

(HT 0 - 1)

L A

07-04-2018

Championship

Derby County Team Logo Derby County

FT 3 - 0

(HT 2 - 0)

L H

10-04-2018

Championship

Millwall Team Logo Millwall

FT 0 - 2

(HT 0 - 1)

D A

14-04-2018

Championship

Barnsley Team Logo Barnsley

FT 2 - 2

(HT 1 - 0)

L H

21-04-2018

Championship

Wolverhampton Wanderers Team Logo Wolverhampton Wanderers

FT 0 - 4

(HT 0 - 2)

L A

28-04-2018

Championship

Burton Albion Team Logo Burton Albion

FT 2 - 0

(HT 2 - 0)

W H

06-05-2018

Championship

Nottingham Forest Team Logo Nottingham Forest

FT 3 - 2

(HT 0 - 0)

Aston Villa Form Guide

Aston Villa Team Logo

Aston Villa

Won

5

Draw

2

Lost

3
W H

03-04-2018

Championship

Reading Team Logo Reading

FT 3 - 0

(HT 0 - 0)

L A

07-04-2018

Championship

Norwich City Team Logo Norwich City

FT 3 - 1

(HT 1 - 0)

W H

10-04-2018

Championship

Cardiff City Team Logo Cardiff City

FT 1 - 0

(HT 0 - 0)

W H

13-04-2018

Championship

Leeds United Team Logo Leeds United

FT 1 - 0

(HT 1 - 0)

W A

21-04-2018

Championship

Ipswich Town Team Logo Ipswich Town

FT 0 - 4

(HT 0 - 1)

D H

28-04-2018

Championship

Derby County Team Logo Derby County

FT 1 - 1

(HT 0 - 1)

L A

06-05-2018

Championship

Millwall Team Logo Millwall

FT 1 - 0

(HT 1 - 0)

W A

12-05-2018

Championship Playoff

Middlesbrough Team Logo Middlesbrough

FT 0 - 1

(HT 0 - 1)

D H

15-05-2018

Championship Playoff

Middlesbrough Team Logo Middlesbrough

FT 0 - 0

(HT 0 - 0)

L H

26-05-2018

Championship Playoff

Fulham Team Logo Fulham

FT 0 - 1

(HT 0 - 1)

Bolton Wanderers Preview

The Trotters are now without a victory in their last four though three of these have ended in a draw.  They are slowly crawling to safely as none of the sides below them have any momentum and going into the weekend they were 20th six points above the bottom three.

At the Macron Stadium, they have lost just one of their last seven in the league and two of their last 13.  Wanderers have scored exactly one goal in each of their last six in front of their own fans.

Just 15% of the goals Bolton have scored this season have come in the opening 15 minutes of the first-half and the second-half.  Since Gary Madine left in January the top league goalscorer for the Lancashire outfit is Sammy Ameobi with just four goals.

 

Bolton Wanderers Team News

Stephen Darby (head) is their only doubt ahead after this game.

 

Aston Villa Preview

Defeat in midweek put to an end a run of three straight victories and was only their second from their last 13.  Villa remain in third place but they have lost ground to Cardiff in second who are now seven points ahead of them.

Away from Villa Park, they have won their last two and five of their last six with that one defeat coming at Fulham.  The last two on the road have gone over 2.5 goals but the four before that did not.

Lewis Grabban has grabbed four goals in his last five appearances while James Chester has netted in each of his last two.  Some 53% of the goals that Villa have scored this season have come in the middle 15 minutes of a half (16-30 and 61-75).

 

Aston Villa Team News

Neil Taylor (groin), Glenn Whelan (calf), Axel Tuanzebe, Alan Hutton, Chris Samba, Andre Green (all hamstring), Jonathan Kodjia, Gabby Agbonlahor and Jordan Lyden (all ankle) are doubts while Jed Steer (dislocated shoulder) is a long-term absentee.

 

Bolton Wanderers Last 10 Games Stats

Win Draw Loss

AVG Goals

0.8

BTTS

Over 0.5

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

BTTS+Win

BTTS+Draw

BTTS+Lose

Cleansheets

H/T Win

Won to Nil

Aston Villa Last 10 Games Stats

Win Draw Loss

AVG Goals

1.2

BTTS

Over 0.5

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

BTTS+Win

BTTS+Draw

BTTS+Lose

Cleansheets

H/T Win

Won to Nil

Bolton Wanderers vs Aston Villa Sidelined Players

Head to Head
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Probably Lineup

No. Pos Player M kg
13 GK Ben Alnwick 189 80
14 LB Jon Flanagan 180 79
32 CD Reece Burke 189 81
5 CD Mark Beevers 193 80
3 RB Andrew Taylor 178 69
24 CDM Karl Henry 183 76
17 CDM Derik Osede 183 74
10 CM Sammy Ameobi 190 66
21 CM Darren Pratley 185 69
11 CM William Buckley 183 83
9 CF Adam Le Fondre 180 73
No. Pos Player M kg
1 GK Sam Johnstone 193 85
27 LB Ahmed El Mohamady 180 81
5 CD James Chester 177 75
26 CD John Terry 187 90
16 RB James Bree 178 74
7 LM Robert Snodgrass 182 82
20 CDM Birkir Bjarnason 182 75
14 CM Conor Hourihane 181 62
10 CM Jack Grealish 175 68
37 RM Albert Adomah 185 74
45 CF Lewis Grabban 183 71